Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
209 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 207 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024
The next strong storm system takes aim on the region tonight into
Monday with another round of heavy rain and gusty, potentially
damaging winds possible. Keep up with the latest forecast changes.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 207 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024
Key Messages as the weather changes into the night:
* Strong weather system brings another round of strong,
potentially damaging wind and rain
* Greatest impacts Saturday evening through Monday
* Flooding of roads, streams, and poorly draining areas
* Flood Watch remains in effect
* Flash Flood Watch for River Burn Area
* Downed trees possible due to strong, gusty winds
* Greatest wind damage concern along coast and in high elevations
* Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings in effect beginning tonight
* Very hazardous sea state
Light to moderate rain will begin this afternoon along the Big Sur
coast and spread northward through the overnight hours. It is the
overnight when a majority of the rainfall will occur with an
increase in coverage and intensity. Winds will also be on the
increase with gusts as high as 80 mph in the peaks and ridges. Some
gusts of 70 mph could mix down to the surface, especially along
coastal areas from early Sunday morning through the afternoon.
In wake of the frontal passage by early Sunday afternoon, expecting
scattered to widespread rain showers with the potential for isolated
thunderstorms.
Here are the updated totals starting from Saturday afternoon through
Monday afternoon:
2.00" to 3.00": Santa Clara Valley, Interior East Bay: there is the
potential for lesser rainfall in the rain shadowed valleys
2.50" to 3.50": San Francisco, Oakland, East Bay Hills, lower
elevations of San Mateo Co, interior North Bay, interior Monterey
Co and San Benito Co
3.50" to 5.00": Santa Cruz Co and higher elevations of the North Bay
6.00" to 8.00": The highest peaks of the Santa Cruz Mtns, the Santa
Lucias and Big Sur Coast
Greater than 8.00": The highest peaks of the Big Sur Coast
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Friday)
Issued at 207 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024
Post frontal rain showers will continue into early Tuesday before
tapering off from north to south. Afternoon temperatures through
the remainder of the week struggle to warm out of the mid/upper 50s
(40s for the higher peaks). Overnight lows will range from the upper
30s to mid 40s. Rain potentially returns by Wednesday night/early
Thursday morning with no significant impacts expected at this
time.
&&
